12 July, 2021

When it comes to the Taliban, Russia clearly draws a "red line"

Recently, the United States' panic withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has not only been condemned by the international community, but the quiet withdrawal at night has also become the laughing stock of the media around the world. This leaves the old face of US President Biden nowhere to rest.

On July 7, local time, the Afghan government delegation and the Taliban delegation held talks in Tehran, the capital of Iran. After the meeting, Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif stated that after the withdrawal of foreign forces, "Afghan factions will have no obstacles to planning a peaceful and prosperous future for the next generation." This is even more upsetting to the US government.

This is not over yet. The Taliban have frequently expressed their favor to China recently, saying, "China is a friendly country, and we welcome them to participate in the reconstruction and development of Afghanistan." What did Biden feel like? Biden must be unhappy. Amidst the suspicion of the international community, "home is like an arrow" turned a blind eye to the landslides in Afghanistan. Regardless of the U.S. government's responsibilities and obligations to Afghanistan for more than 20 years, Biden also "vigorously defended" his decision to withdraw troops.

Since the announcement of the decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan in April this year, on July 8, local time, Biden made a speech on this issue for the first time on a formal occasion. When asked whether the broader goal of the past 20 years has failed, he said: "The mission has not failed—not yet."

Biden also said that the United States has long achieved its goal when it sent troops to Afghanistan in 2001: to eradicate al-Qaeda militants and prevent the United States from being attacked again like the "September 11" incident. Earlier, White House Press Secretary Psaki said that ending the longest war in the United States is not a time of celebration. "We will not have a'mission complete' moment. This is a war without military victory."

When a reporter asked him if he trusted the Taliban, Biden became angry and sternly reprimanded "this is a stupid question." He also referred to China and said, "We need to focus on consolidating the core advantages of the United States to deal with strategic competition with China and other countries. These competitions will truly determine our future."

Unlike the U.S. focusing on lip service, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov pointed out on July 9 local time that the Taliban have occupied multiple border posts on the border between Afghanistan, Iran and Tajikistan. The current armed operations are still within Afghanistan’s own territory, and Russia will not take any action, but Russia insists on calling for a political process that can gain the support of all the Afghan people as soon as possible.

Never allow anyone to bully China! In front of the world, the Taliban issued a warning, and the United States heard clearly

According to a report on the World Wide Web on July 9, Taliban spokesman Suhail Shaheen said in an interview that the Taliban regards China as a friend of Afghanistan and welcomes China's investment in Afghanistan's reconstruction. According to reports, he also promised to ensure the safety of Chinese investors and workers. Suhail Shaheen said that China is the most important investor in Afghanistan. After the US military leaves Afghanistan, it is necessary for the Taliban to seek negotiations with China on investment issues. "We have been to China many times and we have a good relationship with them," he said. "China is a friendly country. We welcome them to participate in the reconstruction and development of Afghanistan."

In addition, Suhail Shaheen also mentioned that the Taliban have made a promise that they will not allow anyone or any force to attack China and other countries from the land of Afghanistan. Suhail Shaheen also said that the Taliban currently controls most of the territory of Afghanistan . If Chinese investors and workers return to Afghanistan in the future, the Taliban will protect their safety: "We welcome them, and if they have investments in Afghanistan, we will of course protect them. Their safety, their safety is very important to us ."

On the 8th, US President Biden announced that the US military in Afghanistan will complete the withdrawal by August 31. Biden announced in April this year that all US troops in Afghanistan will be withdrawn by September 11. With the gradual withdrawal of US and NATO forces , the conflict between Afghan security forces and Taliban militants has become increasingly fierce. Biden believes that the possibility of a unified government in Afghanistan controlling the entire country is "very small." The only way for Afghanistan's ultimate peace and security is for the Afghan government and the Taliban to reach a compromise plan on how to coexist peacefully.In his speech, Biden emphasized that the United States will use "firm diplomatic efforts" to facilitate the negotiation of a peace agreement within Afghanistan.

In this regard, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said on the 8th that although the United States has basically completed its withdrawal from Afghanistan, its responsibility for helping Afghanistan maintain stability, prevent chaos, and rebuild peace still remains. As the initiator of the Afghan issue, the United States should ensure a smooth transition of the situation in Afghanistan in a responsible manner. China has always believed that political negotiations are the only way to resolve the Afghan issue.We call on all parties in the Afghan peace talks to focus on the interests of the country and the people, maintain the momentum of intra-Afghan negotiations, clarify the road map and timetable for reconciliation as soon as possible, push the Afghan Taliban to return to the political mainstream in a moderate manner, and jointly create a broad and inclusive future political structure Lays the foundation for the realization of lasting peace in Afghanistan.

What is the turmoil in Haiti? After the Pentagon refused to send troops, the US media found out the old accounts, and Wang Wenbin gave a voice.

On July 7, local time, after the assassination of President Moise of Haiti, the government asked the United Nations to send troops to help ensure the country's national security, especially the protection of critical infrastructure. World Wide Web reported on July 10, the United Nations Secretary-General's Office said, “Our special political mission in Haiti has received a letter and is studying it. In any case, the issue of dispatching troops is determined by the Security Council.”

In addition, on July 9, local time, Haitian Election Minister Pierre stated that they had requested the support of the US military to protect Haiti's ports, airports, gasoline facilities and other critical infrastructure. Pierre said the request was made because both US President Biden and Secretary of State Brinken had promised to help Haiti. The US White House official told US media on the afternoon of July 9 local time that the US currently has no plans to provide military assistance.

Even American media picked up Biden's amazing remarks in 1994. Biden once said that even if Haiti quietly sinks into the Caribbean Sea or suddenly rises 300 feet, it will have no effect on the interests of the United States. Former US President Trump once referred to this country as a "dunghole."

The political situation in Haiti has been in turmoil in recent years, with complicated disputes between parties, and serious social problems such as poverty and violent crime. At the same time, the situation of the new crown pneumonia epidemic in Haiti is extremely severe, and the vaccination work has not yet started. Moise was shot and killed at home, bringing more uncertainty to the already volatile security and health situation in Haiti. Jaideen Jean, head of the Human Rights Analysis and Research Center headquartered in Haiti, said recently that the gang has almost completely controlled the situation in Haiti.

The deep-seated cause of Haiti's chaos is absolutely inseparable from the United States. Sun Yanfeng, deputy director of the Latin American Institute of the China Institute of Modern International Relations, believes that the United States actually occupied Haiti from 1915 to 1943. During the Duvalier family dictatorship from 1957 to 1986, the supporter behind it was also the United States. Since the 1990s, the United States has more or less controlled the destiny of the Haitian and Haitian governments. When the US government felt that Haiti had no strategic value , it threw it away as rubbish.

Regarding the current situation in Haiti, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin made a righteous voice on July 9th: “We hope that Haiti will restore social stability as soon as possible, realize the healthy development of the country's economy, and ensure the happiness and well -being of its people."

Trump's son criticized Biden: "The world is going to hell" under his leadership

According to a report by the Russian Satellite News Agency on the 10th, on July 9 local time, Donald Trump Jr., the son of former US President Trump, attended the American Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Dallas and presented at the meeting . Unexpectedly, we shed tears. Before attending this meeting, Trump Jr. said he would "actively participate" in the 2022 midterm elections to help the Republican Party regain the majority of seats in both houses of the Senate.

Trump Jr. participates in the American Conservative Political Action Conference

In his speech at the meeting, Trump Jr. boasted that his father and former President Trump was “right” in “everything”, while ruthlessly criticized the current President Joe Biden and his His son, Hunter Biden, cited a series of problems that have occurred in the United States since Biden took power.

Trump Jr. lamented that the Biden administration has been sending a "welcome" message to illegal immigrants. Under his leadership, "the world is going to hell." Trump Jr. mocked the way Biden responded to the challenge crisis sweeping the southern border of the United States after the overthrow of Trump's immigration policy: "We will provide you with free medical care and free education. You can take Americans away. jobs."

US President Biden Source: Reuters

Trump Jr. also criticized the White House Press Secretary Psaki and CNN for promoting the claim that Republicans, not Democrats, support the “divestment of the police”. In addition, he also accused the American media of claiming that the "evidence" that proved that President Biden was "not suffering from amnesia" was that Russian President Putin called Biden "smart".

Trump Jr. said, “I don’t know. But I’m going to take the risk and say that if Putin evaluates Trump this way, then (US media) will react differently. Have you ever thought that maybe Putin will be with someone Fools are excited about negotiations?" He was referring to the recent meeting between Biden and Putin in Geneva.

Biden and his son Hunter Source: Reuters

In addition, Trump Jr. also attacked Biden's son Hunter, who recently admitted that he had taken cocaine. He accused Hunter of "racist" text messages that appeared in "Laptops from Hell", and also accused the White House of selling Hunter's paintings anonymously (this has caused controversy).

Trump Jr. said, "How do we get what we want from the Democrats? Just buy Hunter's art... (drugs) addiction is a terrible thing, but it does not prevent you from becoming completely involved in other aspects of life. The responsibility of a rubbish. This does not exonerate you from the guilt of betraying access to the highest level of government power. Am I right?"

Later, Trump Jr. talked about why he thinks his family has strong support from conservatives. Trump Jr. said, "We are actually fighting. We will counterattack, right? This is what Trump has done for the Republican Party... We need you to join us in this fight... They can't cancel all of us. people."

Finally, he looked forward to the future and urged his supporters to "continue to fight", "We need you to stand with us...As long as you are still fighting, we will continue to fight."

Why did the Biden administration act on Chinese students?

The US's refusal of more than 500 Chinese students to study in the US continued to ferment. The US State Department spokesperson argued that the relevant measures only affect less than 2% of Chinese applicants. In response, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin cited a report from Georgetown University on Friday (9th) to refute that every year 3,000 to 5,000 Chinese graduate students who intend to study in the United States will be affected, accounting for 16% to 27 of the total number.

The analysis pointed out that the United States restricts China's science and engineering student visas, which is essentially a technology blockade against China and a manifestation of the United States' technological hegemony. In recent years, the United States has become increasingly anxious about scientific research and competition for talents. The containment and suppression of China's science and technology sector has long been extended to the field of studying abroad. As early as June 2018, the United States restricted visas for Chinese students studying in robotics, aerospace, and high-tech manufacturing industries.

Observers believe that Biden continued the Trump-era executive order because the elites of the U.S. Democratic Party advocated that the focus of Sino-U.S. competition should be on the economic and technological fields, and that U.S. policymakers should not only reserve and balance China’s “hard power”. We should also pay attention to the "soft power" and "sharp power" accumulated by China's increasing influence.

It is worth noting that although Schmidt characterizes the Sino-US relationship as a "competitive partnership" and believes that the two countries can develop potential cooperation in non-strategic areas such as health care and climate change, he particularly emphasized that China is in the field of science and technology. The threat to the United States is "real and urgent," so the United States must "at all costs" defeat China in the field of artificial intelligence to deal with China's increasing competitive pressure.

Su Xiaohui, deputy director of the American Research Institute of the China Institute of International Studies, told Shenzhen Satellite TV that the United States regards science and technology as a key winner in the future competition of major powers, and China's increasingly strong scientific and technological strength has made it more anxious. Therefore, some people with ulterior motives see it as a viable path to contain China in the field of science and technology and allow allies to replace China. It can achieve the goal of containing China's rise while protecting American interests to some extent. And this kind of wishful thinking and narrow views is still very marketable in the United States.

Russell, who was the Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia and Pacific Affairs of the U.S. Department of State from 2013 to 2017, said in an interview with Japanese media recently that as China’s strength approaches the United States, Sino-U.S. relations are no longer what they used to be. "The good time when the United States supports China's development and strives to avoid friction and confrontation" has passed. Russell pretended that as China became stronger and stronger, its behavior became "dangerous and disturbing." He also asserted that the relationship between the two countries can remain stable only when the strength of the United States far exceeds that of China. Therefore, only when the United States strengthens its linkages with its allies can China "compromise."

This view was refuted by Ma Kaishuo, a researcher at the Institute of Asian Studies at the National University of Singapore. Earlier this month, Ma Kaishuo published "Will the United States Lose to China?" "The article stated that the strategic complacency of the United States is surprising. If you continue to harbor such complacency, you will be naively trapped in a competition that you might lose. If the United States tries to isolate China, the result will be swallowed and isolated itself.

The article believes that the momentum of demonizing China is growing stronger in the United States, and important figures issue warnings about the so-called "China threat" every day. One of the reasons behind this is that the United States is deeply trapped in the obsession of economic hegemony and military hegemony, and has a series of misunderstandings about China, so that it will regard China as an "imaginary enemy."

In fact, China's development has neither challenged the prosperity of the United States, nor has it posed a threat to the security of the United States. For Biden, his priority should be to break the 30-year economic stagnation in the United States and end the "ocean of despair" of working-class people. Only in this way can Trump or similar actors come back, and only in this way can we increase long-term confidence in Biden’s "U.S. return". The best solution to revitalize the U.S. economy is to cooperate with other countries with strong economies in the world. Especially China.

After Biden talked about "China's reunification", Kissinger made a heavyweight statement, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of our country spoke quickly

According to CCTV News, on July 9, an event to commemorate the 50th anniversary of Kissinger’s secret visit to China was held in Beijing. Former U.S. Secretary of State Kissinger gave a speech via a video link, calling on China and the United States to use the same as they did 50 years ago. To resolve differences through dialogue and understanding, confrontation between the two countries will only lead to the division of the world. More than 100 people including representatives from China and the United States participated in the event, and more than 200 people from all walks of life in the United States participated in the event via video connection. On the same day, Kissinger said that the important prerequisite for the US-China relationship to "break the ice" in 1971 was that the United States recognized that there was only one China in the world and recognized that "China regards Taiwan as part of the country." 50 years later, this premise is still valid. And it should be "more effective" than it was in 1971.

On July 9, 1971, Kissinger, then the assistant to the US president for national security affairs, visited China secretly, leading to the "ice-breaking" of Sino-US relations. Kissinger said that the conflict between the United States and China will divide the world, and if trying to get other countries to stand between the United States and China, it can only bring more pressure to them and make the situation more difficult. "Today, we need a dialogue like President Nixon and Chairman Mao did in 1972." Kissinger also reminded that both the United States and China need to understand that, as the two countries understood 50 years ago, not all issues A solution can be found in a short period of time.

It is worth noting that just a few days ago, the White House Indo-Pacific Affairs Coordinator Campbell stated that “the United States supports the development of strong unofficial relations with Taiwan and does not support Taiwan's independence. We fully understand its sensitivity.” This is also Biden. The government made a clear statement for the first time since taking office. On July 9, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said that today, fifty years ago, Dr. Kissinger visited China.The older generation of Chinese leaders worked together with President Nixon and Dr. Kissinger to reopen the door to Sino-US exchanges based on the common interests of the two peoples and opened a new historical chapter in the improvement and development of Sino-US relations. It has had a positive and far-reaching impact on both China and the United States and the world.

Wang Wenbin emphasized: In the past 50 years, Sino-US relations have gone through ups and downs and have generally continued to move forward, bringing huge benefits to the two peoples and making important contributions to world peace, stability and prosperity. At present, Sino-US relations are at a new historical juncture and face new decisions. Is it to engage in hostility and confrontation or mutual respect, to engage in closed and decoupling or to open cooperation, to engage in a zero-sum game or mutual benefit and win-win? The people of China and the United States and the international community are highly concerned.It is hoped that the United States will recognize the general trend of the world, follow the trend of the times, correct its understanding of China, make the right choice, and meet China halfway.

It's exposed: the US is far more powerful than China, and the relationship is stable...

"Only by letting China see that the United States' democratic strength is growing rather than declining, can China be more cautious or compromise." Former US Assistant Secretary of State Daniel Russel said in an interview with Japanese media a few days ago that only when the US is far-reaching Only when China surpasses China can relations between the two countries remain stable. But today China is about to become a big country rivaling the United States, and the "good days" of the United States have passed.

In Russell's view, the reason why China is becoming more "tough" is that the United States is "declining." For this, the United States needs to show stronger "resilience" and strength. At the same time, he also opposes "weakening and isolating" China, and believes that the American eagle's idea of ​​​​"regime change" against China is "extremely dangerous."

"Nihon Keizai Shimbun" report, the picture shows the former US Assistant Secretary of State Daniel Russell

"Nihon Keizai Shimbun" published this interview with Russell on the 10th. During the period, Russell reviewed the past and present changes in Sino-US relations, put forward his own views on the US policy towards China, and also talked about the "triangular relationship" between China, the United States and Russia.

Commenting on the US government's policy toward China over the past few decades, Russell said that as China's strength approaches the US, Sino-US relations are no longer what they used to be. Passed.

Russell recalled that during the Clinton administration, the United States believed that a stable and prosperous China was in the interests of the United States and its allies. Therefore, the US government promoted contacts with China in an attempt to integrate China into the US-led international system and hoped to shape China in this way. the behavior of. At that time, no one thought it was better to isolate and contain China and destabilize China. "This will be a disaster."

Although Russell believes that the current denial of the strategy of engaging with China is untenable, he also admits that the situation has indeed changed and it is difficult for China and the United States to return to the past. He mentioned the following two factors:

"First of all, in the past, as long as there was a huge gap in military and economic strength between the two countries, Sino-US relations were quite stable. But now China has made greater economic achievements and has stronger military technology capabilities. Today's China is about to become one. A big country rivaling the United States, this phenomenon has never happened before."

As for the second reason, Russell attributed it to "China has more openly challenged global rules and the leadership of the United States" in recent years.

Russell claimed that China began to believe that it was as powerful as the United States, and as they became stronger, the United States was declining. Along with this perception, China's behavior has become "dangerous and disturbing." He believes that as long as China still believes that the strength of the United States is declining, it will have the motivation to issue a more direct challenge.

Russell once again pointed out that the relationship between the two countries can remain stable only when the strength of the United States far exceeds that of China. Although he opposes the strategy of weakening China and believes that such an approach is "neither wise nor feasible, "the United States does need to show its strength.

In this regard, the United States needs to strengthen its relationship with its allies; demonstrate its resilience, carry out self-innovation and remodeling, and promote the growth of the overall strength of a democratic society. Russell said that Chinese leaders respect strength and despise weakness. Only by doing so can the United States make China compromise or be more cautious in behavior.

In the interview, the Japanese media also mentioned some American hawkish politicians' claims that the United States should carry out "regime change" in China. But Russell refuted this claim. He mentioned that the experience of the United States in Iraq, Libya and other regions has proved that this approach has led to "catastrophic failure," which not only failed, but also brought huge problems to the host country and the United States.

Russell admits that the consequences of this are also "extremely dangerous and unpredictable." The United States "does not have the ability" to implement "regime change" against China. This idea is "neither wise nor realistic."

It is worth mentioning that in addition to Sino-US relations, Russell also put forward his views on Sino-US-Russian relations.

In his view, the relationship between the three countries today is different from the Sino-US-Soviet relationship in the last century. At that time, China and the Soviet Union were actually "adversaries", but now Russia has become "a relatively weak and small country", focusing on "making things for Western countries." Trouble", the cooperation relationship between China and Russia is quite close. In the last century, the United States and the Soviet Union did not have interdependence in economic and other fields , and the way of competition was more direct. The degree of technological integration is unprecedented.

Russell participated in the Asia Society online event on the 6th

Daniel Russel is currently the Vice President of the American Asia Society Policy Research Institute and has extensive experience in Asian affairs. He served as Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia and Pacific Affairs from 2013 to 2017, and was an important figure in the Obama administration's "Asia-Pacific Rebalancing" strategy. He advocated that the United States strive to strengthen the alliance. Deepen contacts with multilateral organizations and expand cooperation with emerging powers in the Asia-Pacific region.

On the 6th local time, Russell and Kurt Campbell, the coordinator of Indo-Pacific affairs of the Biden administration, attended an online event of the American think tank Asia Society. Campbell also made a similar argument to Russell. He claimed that compared with the 1990s, China's foreign policy has become more "tough" and that China's simultaneous response to multiple international disputes is "a major change." Campbell also said that China and the United States can coexist peacefully, but this is an "extremely huge challenge" for present and future generations.

Published under Blog on 12 July, 2021.