05 July, 2021

More than 100 Dongfeng-41 silos are under construction? Beijing has no obligation to respond to Washington's speculation!

US State Department spokesman Price commented on a report in the Washington Post on Thursday that China's nuclear construction is becoming more and more difficult to cover up, and it appears to have deviated from decades of nuclear strategy based on minimum deterrence. He said that this indicates that China's nuclear arsenal will grow faster and reach levels that may be higher than previously expected, adding that "this growth is worrying."

The Washington Post reported on Wednesday that China has begun to build 119 nearly identical construction sites in hundreds of square miles of desert near Yumen, Gansu. The report quoted Jeffrey Lewis, an expert at the California Nuclear Non-Proliferation Research Center, as saying that they judged based on commercial satellite images that the characteristics of these construction sites are similar to what people see in China's existing ballistic missile launching facilities, so they pointed out that these construction sites are under construction. More than 100 intercontinental ballistic missile silos. According to the report, this represents a "historic shift" in China's nuclear arsenal.

Lewis believes that these "silos" may be designed for the Dongfeng-41 intercontinental ballistic missile, and he emphasized that such missiles can carry multiple warheads, keeping the continental United States within range.

Since the beginning of this year, some organizations in the United States and the West have continuously released various assessments such as China's increasing nuclear warheads, building a "triad" nuclear strike force, and adding new silos. US officials have repeatedly raised this issue, and much of the information is speculative. Their purpose is obvious. They are to put pressure on China's nuclear deterrence, to force China to express a variety of plausible information, and form a situation of high-profile hype in the United States and the West , and China to parry and cope with it, thereby restraining China's hands and feet.

For example, they say that China has built a new missile silo in a certain place, or how many nuclear warheads it has added. If China denies a specific allegation in this regard, it will contain a public opinion effect that China should not do that way. logic.

Some forces in the United States and the West want China to change from denying the Western accusations of developing nuclear deterrence to that we really don't do that, lest they be caught by them. In that case, such accusations and supervision of China will become a kind of "international morality," and China will be forced to exercise stricter self-discipline.

We don't know whether the latest accusation from China Post corresponds to the actual situation. However, generally speaking, silos are generally used for liquid-assisted intercontinental ballistic missiles. Such missiles tend to have large thrust and long range, and can carry larger nuclear warheads. The silo provides good conditions for storing and maintaining missiles, and can shorten the launch time in an emergency. However, Lewis speculated that these "silos" in Gansu were built for Dongfeng-41. The missiles use solid fuel and are loaded on highly mobile launch vehicles. The necessity of placing them in the silos is questionable. Therefore, the latest accusations from China Post and the US State Department are at least rough.

We maintain that China does not need to pay attention to the various messages and accusations sent by the United States and the West against China's strategy of strengthening nuclear deterrence, and will never be held back by them. They can say whatever they want, and let them guess. This can also be seen as a way for China to achieve nuclear deterrence at this stage.

Land-based ballistic missiles are an important part of the deterrence of nuclear powers. The United States has at least 450 silos. When developing the "Trinity" nuclear power, the role of advanced silos is irreplaceable. In addition, there are usually real silos , as well as "decoy" silos. The actual location of China's land-based intercontinental ballistic missile silos is undoubtedly China's top secret.

The United States now wants China to maintain the "minimum nuclear deterrence" route. Yes, China said that our country's nuclear power has always been maintained at the lowest level required for national security. However, this minimum level must be highly reliable, and it will change as China's national security situation changes. Now that China is defined by the United States as the “number one strategic competitor”, the US military pressure on China continues to increase, and China's nuclear deterrence to stop US strategic impulses must be accelerated accordingly . Our second nuclear strike capability needs to be fully credible, which must be guaranteed by a sufficient number of nuclear warheads and their high survivability.

Everyone has seen that China's security situation is changing rapidly. The United States has a strategic ambition to "subduing China". Once China and the United States encounter military confrontation due to certain circumstances, sufficient nuclear power to deter the United States will be the foundation of China's national will at that time. Therefore, today's minimum level and the previous minimum level face completely different environments and risks, and their calculation methods must also be different. Therefore, let the United States say what it should do, and China will surely be sober and firm.

After China gave Iran a trump card, the United Nations finally couldn't help but make a move, and the United States had a headache.

The United States has always maintained a high-pressure policy against Iran. A headache happened to the United States recently. The United Nations once again urged the United States to abandon sanctions.

According to a report by on June 30, United Nations Secretary-General Guterres said: "I call on the United States to cancel or abandon the sanctions listed in the plan." He also called on Iran to resume the full implementation of the Iran nuclear agreement.

In a report submitted to the UN Security Council, Guterres also urged the United States to “extend the exemption for oil trade with Iran and extend the exemption for nuclear non-proliferation projects across the board”.

The UN Under-Secretary-General for Politics and Peacebuilding Affairs DiCarlo and others briefed on the recent Security Council Resolution 2231 and the comprehensive agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue. The parties to the Iran nuclear agreement recently held several rounds of negotiations in Vienna, Austria , to discuss the issue of the United States and Iran resuming compliance. DiCarlo said that these negotiations have created important opportunities for the United States and Iran to reintegrate and effectively implement the Iran nuclear agreement. She called on the United States to lift or suspend sanctions against Iran, and Iran should immediately resume cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and no longer make any moves that might jeopardize the agreement.

Geng Shuang, China's deputy permanent representative to the United Nations, said that the United States has repeatedly expressed its willingness to return to the Iran nuclear agreement and has always declared that "multilateralism is back." That being the case, the US should make greater efforts and show more sincerity to promote an early consensus. He pointed out that out of worries that the United States might break the contract again, the Iranian side requested the current US government to provide assurances that it would not unilaterally withdraw from the agreement. This request is completely understandable and deserves a response.

As early as March 27 this year, State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks with Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif in Tehran. After the meeting, China and Iran formally signed a 25-year agreement, which included political, strategic and economic cooperation. On the same day, Iran's ambassador to Brazil, Gariba, tweeted, “In Tehran, Iran and China have finalized their first 25-year strategic framework. Under this, the two sides outlined their respective long-term economic and other interests.”

He then accused the United States of saying, "During the COVID-19 pandemic, (the United States) exerted extreme pressure on Iranians was also a moral failure of its supporters. And because this policy was not quickly condemned and corrected by the Biden administration , so It cannot simply be labeled as an isolated Trump (government) policy."

"The Sino-Iranian partnership will lay the foundation for a new'world order' with a high degree of respect for Eastern values, rather than the (Western) values ​​​​that have become increasingly radical in recent years and have now failed." Gariba also wrote.

After Putin's live broadcast was hacked and Russia set a "red line", Biden was suddenly "given a heavy responsibility"

The annual "Putin Online Live" event was held at 12 o'clock on June 30, local time. Before the live broadcast, the President's Information Center collected questions from the Russian people through mailboxes, websites, TV, and application software. The president responded to some of these questions on the spot and accepted the on-site connection.

There was an unexpected episode during the broadcast that day-the host claimed that a hacker attacked the president's live broadcast connection. The Russian President's Press Secretary Peskov stated that it was a distributed denial of service attack and it was not clear where it came from.

Russian President Vladimir Putin did not appear to be affected by the hacking, and answered 68 questions in the live broadcast. Regarding Russia-US relations, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that if the United States crosses the "red line," Russia will wait to react. "If they (the US) cross the line, we will find a countermeasure that is heavy enough for our partners (the US)."

Speaking of Russia's sanctions, Putin said that the Russian economy has adapted to the sanctions. The sanctions have brought benefits to the Russian agro-industrial complex because Russia has adopted a policy of substituting imports for sanctions, which has promoted the development of Russia's high- tech industry.

Some Russians asked why Russia still faces sanctions after the meeting between the leaders of Russia and the United States in Geneva. In this regard, Putin said that although the United States has its own political system, American experts and scholars have also made suggestions to the government—the era of the unipolar world is over, and the world is changing; our American partners understand this on the one hand, and hold it. The meeting in Geneva; on the other hand, we must maintain our monopoly position anyway, and thus threaten to make non-constructive behaviors and continue to impose sanctions on Russia.

Putin said: "Russia is also developing well in the context of sanctions and has a strong national defense force, but many problems between Russia and the United States depend on the US President." From this point of view, US President Biden was suddenly " given a heavy responsibility" by Putin..

Although Putin passed many problems of Russia and the United States to Biden, Putin also showed goodwill to the United States at the same time. Putin expressed his hope that the international order will be more orderly and Russia-US relations will also be normalized.

Biden underestimated Kim Jong-un's determination! North Korea rejected the U.S.'s "show good" twice, Wang Yi was shocked


However, it turns out that Biden still underestimated the determination of North Korea's supreme leader Kim Jong Un. Faced with the successive "shows of good" by the United States, North Korea has rejected it twice, once in February this year, and the other time in April when the United States concluded its comprehensive assessment of its North Korean policy. Regarding North Korea's attitude, the United States has also recently made the latest response.

According to "Reference News" quoted Yonhap News Agency, on July 1, local time, U.S. State Department spokesperson Ned Price said at a press conference, "The United States hopes that North Korea will respond constructively and is still willing to engage with North Korea at any time and any place. To make contact, our special representative for North Korea, Ambassador Jin Sheng, recently visited South Korea and met with South Korean officials there. The United States still believes that dialogue is the best way to promote the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula."

As we all know, China’s attitude towards the nuclear issue on the Peninsula is consistent and clear. According to the website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, on July 3, State Councilor and Minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi attended and delivered a speech at the opening ceremony of the Ninth World Peace Forum at Tsinghua University. When talking about the North Korean nuclear issue, Wang Yi once again reiterated that the most important thing is to adhere to the general direction of equal dialogue and peaceful resolution. The nuclear issue on the peninsula has been delayed for nearly 30 years and has undergone several twists and turns. We have always believed that dialogue and negotiation and peaceful settlement are fundamental principles, and that it is imperative to proceed in stages and at the same time. It is the correct way to advance the denuclearization of the peninsula and establish a peace mechanism in parallel.

Wang Yi pointed out that China values ​​the information recently released by the DPRK and the United States and supports all words and deeds that are conducive to maintaining the momentum of dialogue and relaxation on the peninsula. Taking into account the measures taken by the DPRK in denuclearization and easing the situation, the United States should show its sincerity and respond. The United States should reflect on the military threats and pressure it has continued to exert on North Korea for decades, and face up to and resolve the legitimate concerns of North Korea. The UN Security Council should also promptly activate the reversible clause of the sanctions resolution against North Korea to help North Korea improve its economy and people’s livelihood. The affairs of the peninsula are matters at the door of China. China will continue to play a constructive role until the peninsula achieves long-term stability.

Published under Blog on 05 July, 2021.

Latest update on 06 July, 2021.