27 August, 2021

Hong Kong media: Japan and Taiwan’s first "safety dialogue", a dangerous move, mainland China will not turn a blind eye to it

In spite of the opposition from mainland China, the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan and the Democratic Progressive Party of Taiwan held today the so-called "2+2 Security Dialogue." This is the first time that the current ruling parties in Japan and Taiwan have held a "security dialogue", which is of a nasty nature. According to media analysis, this is a provocative and dangerous move for mainland China.

In recent years, Japan-Taiwan linkages have become more and more open. In April this year, the Japan-U.S. joint statement mentioned the Taiwan issue for the first time; the 2021 "Defense White Paper" issued by the Japanese government in July declared that Japan must be more crisis-conscious to pay attention to the situation in the Taiwan Strait. Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi and other high-ranking officials and politicians have made blatant remarks on Japan-Taiwan relations and the situation in the Taiwan Strait that violate the one-China principle.

The so-called "2+2 Security Dialogue" held today is said to focus on how to respond to mainland China's actions in the Taiwan, South China Sea, and East China Sea. The representatives of the DPP dialogue are "legislators" Luo Zhizheng and Cai Zhicheng, and the Japanese representatives are the chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party's Ministry of Foreign Affairs Masahisa Sato, and the chairman of the Ministry of National Defense Taku Otsuka. This dialogue has pushed Japan-Taiwan’s connection and provocation of the mainland to a new level.

On the 25th, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs urged Japan to stop interfering in China's internal affairs and not to send any wrong messages to the "Taiwan independence" forces. The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council on the 20th also urged Japan to deeply reflect on history, immediately correct its mistakes, be cautious in its words and deeds on the Taiwan issue, and stop all Taiwan-related wrong words and deeds. The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council warned that the DPP authorities deliberately attempted to link up with external forces to seek "independence" and provocation, and that they were doomed to fail.

Japan and Taiwan have made a public connection and made dangerous moves that touch China's core interests. Mainland China will not turn a blind eye to it, and will inevitably take tough measures to respond, including a military response. Japan and Taiwan ignore the warnings and continue to provoke, so they must be prepared to pay the price for this.

Mei wants to dig a wall? The Taliban’s second press conference delivered 8 major signals and played a trump card with China

The Afghan Taliban spokesperson Zabiullah Mujahid held a second press conference in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan. At the press conference, Mujahid released eight major signals.

First of all, Mujahid urged the United States not to encourage Afghan doctors, engineers and "educated elites" to leave Afghanistan. The United States had previously digging walls. Since the Taliban entered Kabul, they have been calling on civil servants in the health, medical, transportation and security sectors to return to work.

Second, the Taliban are "struggling" to control the situation at Kabul Airport. Afghans should no longer go to the airport, and those who are still at the airport should go home and their safety will be guaranteed.

Third, the Taliban does not have a "revenge" list. He said: "We have forgotten everything in the past."

Fourth, with regard to Panjshir Province, the only province in Afghanistan that has not yet been controlled by the Taliban, the Taliban are committed to peacefully resolving the problems in Panjshir Province.

Fifth, the Taliban are not inclined to allow Afghans to leave, but all foreign troops must complete their withdrawal before August 31.

Sixth, no terrorist organization, including Al-Qaida, is allowed to use Afghan territory to engage in terrorist activities, nor is it allowed to use Afghan territory to engage in activities that are detrimental to any neighboring countries.

Seventh, the Taliban have appointed some personnel to perform the duties of government ministers, and normal living order will gradually be restored.

Eighth, because the Taliban has announced an amnesty, there are no house-to-house searches anywhere in Afghanistan.

On the same day, Mohamed Naim, spokesman of the Afghan Taliban political office in Doha, the capital of Qatar, tweeted that the Taliban delegation met with the Chinese Ambassador to Afghanistan and his party in Kabul. The two sides discussed the safety of the Chinese Embassy and diplomats, the current situation in Afghanistan, bilateral relations and China's humanitarian assistance.

Earlier in the day, Afghan Taliban spokesperson Zabiullah Mujahid said in an interview with the media: "We want to maintain good relations with China and all countries, and will seek to develop economic and friendly relations with China."

That night, Taliban spokesperson Suhaier Shaheen wrote on Twitter: “It’s time to roll up your sleeves and build Afghanistan.” In the tweet, he also attached a video of what appeared to be a construction vehicle road repair scene.

The Ataliban’s warning was indeed effective. 24 hours later, Biden made a statement that broke the hearts of his allies.

According to Xinhua News Agency, the leaders of the Group of Seven nations held a video conference on the 24th to discuss the situation in Afghanistan. Soon after the meeting, U.S. President Biden announced that the U.S. is striving to complete the evacuation before August 31, ignoring the request of Britain, France and other countries to extend this period. In addition to the time of evacuation, the United States also has huge differences with its allies on the issue of Afghan refugees.

Analysts pointed out that the Afghan crisis left the Group of Seven "very injured." Although the seven countries still spoke together at this meeting, the internal rifts deepened and the distrust among allies in the United States was increasing day by day. Biden's remarks chilled the hearts of G7 allies.

The United States has not only insisted on going its own way with regard to the evacuation deadline, which has discouraged European allies, but also has huge differences with European countries on the refugee issue. Many European media pointed out that the U.S. shirk of responsibility has made it difficult for allies to accept.

The Italian “Defense” website stated that in Biden’s statement, only those Afghans who work for the United States and have no criminal record can enter the United States. This means that the number of refugees the United States will accept will be very limited, and most of the personnel will be transferred to the United States. European countries accept entry.

The Afghan crisis has intensified the distrust of European allies in the United States, and has also triggered reflections on its pursuit of strategic autonomy. According to the website of Radio France Internationale, the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy Borelli said recently that the chaotic situation in Afghanistan and the withdrawal shows that Europe needs to develop its own military capabilities independent of the United States. "Europeans have no choice. We must organize ourselves to face the world."

According to the Global Times, citing a report on the 23rd by the British "Sky News", the Taliban spokesperson issued a severe warning to the United States withdrawing troops from Afghanistan in an interview with the media: If Biden delays the withdrawal of troops, then "the consequences will be at your own risk."

"This is a red line." Taliban spokesman Sohail Shahin said: "President Biden announced that they will withdraw all troops on August 31 (before). So if they delay, it means they are prolonging the occupation. Time, and it’s not necessary."

"If the United States or the United Kingdom seek to increase time to continue the evacuation-the answer is no. Otherwise, the consequences are at your own risk." Suhail Shaheen said, "This will create mistrust between us. If they intend to continue the occupation, they will incur a response. ."

How to do? "Islamic State" attacked Afghanistan by surprise, Biden has only 4 ways to go

According to US media reports, the "Islamic State" attack left US President Joe Biden with four bad choices.

On August 26, local time, two explosions occurred outside Kabul Airport, killing at least 72 people and injuring at least 155 others. Among them, at least 13 American soldiers were killed. A preliminary but highly credible intelligence assessment showed that "ISIS-K" should be responsible for this. At the same time, more deaths are expected.

According to reports, the gate to Kabul Airport has been closed and the evacuation of personnel has been suspended. A government source revealed that evacuation may be suspended permanently. At present, the governments of the United States and the United Kingdom are particularly concerned about this issue for two reasons.

First of all, it is understood that "ISIS-K" has established an important operational presence in Kabul, and it is expected that there will be more attacks against the public and foreign personnel. Obviously, "ISIS-K" also has explosive capabilities that can be deployed at will in Kabul. With thousands of people trying to enter the airport, the airport’s entry point is practically unable to guard against new attacks.

Secondly, there is a concern that although the Taliban and "ISIS-K" are former hostile organizations, they share a hatred of the United States.

According to reports, the United States now faces four difficult choices.

First, the United States and its allies may reopen the three gates of Kabul Airport, risking another attack.

Or, they close the three gates of Kabul Airport, but doing so will result in the abandonment of some Americans and thousands of Afghan allies.

Third, the United States can seize the former Bagram Air Force Base and conduct long-term operations there. Bagram Airport is much larger than Kabul Airport, and its defense capabilities are much stronger. It is reported that for reasons of maintaining moral obligations to American citizens and allies, this view is highly regarded by most people.

Fourth, the former 101st Airborne Division officer who fought in Iraq and Afghanistan and later served as a civilian in the National Counter-Terrorism Center and the Joint Special Operations Command, Eric Robinson suggested that secret ground rescues should be carried out according to the specific circumstances. Secret ground rescue based on specific conditions. Although the United States and the United Kingdom have taken similar actions to send people to Kabul Airport, a secret pipeline from Afghanistan may also be used. However, the risk is high and the scale is limited.

In short, Biden now faces the hardest choice.

Before the US Vice President’s visit, in front of the Chinese ambassador, the Vietnamese side made it clear: non-alignment against China

US Vice President Harris began his Southeast Asia tour, the first stop to visit Singapore. According to the plan, after completing his visit to Singapore, Harris will visit Vietnam, which is also the highest-level US official visiting Southeast Asia since Biden took office. According to Reuters, the purpose of Harris' visit is to strengthen relations with "partners" in the region as part of an effort to "counter China's growing economic and security influence."

Just before Harris's visit to Vietnam, Vietnamese Prime Minister Fan Myung Ching met with the Chinese Ambassador to Vietnam Xiong Bo at the Prime Minister's Office on the 24th. Xiong Bo said that maintaining strategic communication is the fine tradition of China-Vietnam comprehensive strategic partnership. The two sides should strengthen coordination and cooperation in multilateral affairs, jointly safeguard the international system with the United Nations at the core, safeguard multilateralism, and safeguard the independence and equal development rights of developing countries.

Fan Mingzheng said that Vietnam attaches great importance to developing relations with China, which is a strategic choice and top priority for Vietnam's foreign policy. Vietnam is willing to work with China to implement high-level consensus, continue to strengthen high-level exchanges in a flexible way, and continuously consolidate political mutual trust. According to the South China Morning Post, Fan Mingzheng also emphasized in front of Ambassador Xiong Bo that Vietnam will not form an alliance against China.

It is worth mentioning that just one day before the Prime Minister of Vietnam met with Ambassador Xiong Bo, a batch of new crown vaccines aided by the Chinese army arrived in Vietnam. Admiral Huang Chunzhan, member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam and Deputy Minister of National Defense, said that the provision of COVID-19 vaccine assistance by the Chinese Ministry of National Defense this time fully reflects the spirit of solidarity and mutual help between the two armed forces. Huang Chunzhan also affirmed the relationship between the Vietnamese and Chinese armed forces. The military relationship has always been an important pillar of the Vietnam-China comprehensive strategic cooperative partnership.

Regarding the position of Vietnamese military leaders, Zhou Bo, a researcher at the Center for Strategic and Security Studies of Tsinghua University, said in an interview that Vietnam clearly expressed the good relations between Vietnam and China and the two militaries. If Harris visits Vietnam to strengthen The bilateral relationship between the United States and Vietnam has nothing to do with China, but if it aims to achieve anti-China goals by strengthening bilateral relations, it will not be as desired.

Published under Blog on 27 August, 2021.